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Real Estate Information |
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Boom or Bust
For those looking to invest in the real estate market?keep your eyes on the headlines. According to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC), the number of areas across the U.S. with real estate booms shot to 55, increasing by nearly two-thirds last year. The FDIC warns, "these booms may be followed by busts". "Boom" areas are defined as having inflation-adjusted prices at the end of 2004 that were up 30% or more in three years. Of the 362 major metropolitan cities included in this study, over 15% were boom areas. This data, analyzed by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, more than doubles the peak of the 1980's booms and is the highest ratio of boom markets in 30 years. As for "boom or bust", busts are rare. Only 17% of U.S. housing booms from 1978-1998 ended in busts, which are defined as a 15% or more drop in home prices over a five-year period. What is making the market soar? Aside from inflation, the mortgage industry has to be considered first. Adjustable rate and interest only mortgages are growing in numbers and subprime loans now account for 10% of all mortgage loans. With interest rates lower than they've been in years, borrowers can afford to finance an amount greater than the standard 80% loan to value. The percentage of loans exceeding 80% of the purchase price has grown to over 30%. If a borrower has an adjustable rate mortgage and the interest rates rise, their payments increase. If the market values drop, or bust and they have 90% or 95% loan to value, they owe more on the home than it is worth. But these are all "What ifs??". In the markets with the highest number of "boom" cities, California with 21 cities has a high increase rate of 58% and Florida with 11 cities has a high increase rate of 54%. These two states alone account for 60% of the boom areas! With these numbers, would you purchase an investment property in Florida or California and flip it in three years for a possible return upwards of 50%? Of course. A relatively sound investment. How much longer can the market withstand these price increases before it busts? Even history shows a period of time when the market stalls so that inflation can catch up. If you want to invest in real estate, carefully examine the history of the market you are purchasing in! If it has been booming like Florida and California, be careful how long you hold on to the property. If you notice the market is starting to drop, sell. Hold on too long, it may bust! Jason M. Rigler
MORE RESOURCES: Blackstone's Wesley LePatner, a mentor to women and real estate investing leader, killed in NYC office shooting Business Insider The real estate market: 5 key themes to watch this week Real Estate News by RealEstateNews.com AI Is Transforming Real Estate Marketing | Florida Realtors 18 months later, Blackstone still sees real estate comeback ahead Private Equity Real Estate | PERE Real estate: Condo prices rise in Indian River County; fall in Martin, St. Lucie counties Treasure Coast News Troy Furbay has been appointed Managing Director, Hospitality at Crescent Real Estate LLC Hospitality Net ‘Walking beside him’: Daughter continues stepfather’s real estate dream Mountain Home Observer Richland County property transfers recorded July 21-24 Mansfield News Journal Double digit price increases for Putnam real estate Mid Hudson News Alex MacWilliam of Alex MacWilliam Real Estate in Vero GlobeNewswire Haag-Brown Commercial Real Estate to open Bentonville office Talk Business & Politics RE/MAX revenue continues to slip despite agent gains Real Estate News by RealEstateNews.com Executive Killed in Manhattan Shooting Was CEO of Blackstone's $53 Billion Real Estate Megafund Realtor.com Real estate transfers: 7/30 Toledo Blade Inside Zillow’s summer launch: 5 new tools built for agents Real Estate News by RealEstateNews.com Anywhere revenue inches up despite ‘weird’ housing market Real Estate News by RealEstateNews.com Unlock MLS calls new listing option ‘a win for seller choice’ Real Estate News by RealEstateNews.com US industrial real estate investor Terreno sells $82m portfolio IPE Real Assets Real Estate Transactions | July 14-18, 2025 Republic-Times Real estate office renovating former daycare The News-Enterprise Exclusive: Apple to buy another Silicon Valley campus for $365 million San Francisco Chronicle Ledge Road property in Newport sold for $3.3 million tops latest Newport County sales Newport Daily News What’s Rising Across the Upstate? Updates on 7 Real Estate Developments - Upstate Business Journal What’s Rising Across the Upstate? Updates on 7 Real Estate Developments Upstate Business Journal Christie’s Debuts Crypto Real Estate Division The New York Times Santa Monica Ranks Second Most Expensive for Rentals as Real Estate Market Shows Mixed Signals Santa Monica Daily Press Atlanta real estate tycoon Tom Cousins has died at 93 Rough Draft Atlanta Easton home on Sierra Drive that sold for over $1M 'epitomizes one-of-a-kind luxury' Enterprise News Population Growth in England and Wales: A Boon for Real Estate and Social Infrastructure Sectors AInvest Blackstone’s LePatner killed in NYC shooting Private Equity Real Estate | PERE With The Enolia, MCB Real Estate reinvents the residence hall for Morgan State University Baltimore Fishbowl Boardwalk Real Estate: Q2 Earnings Snapshot San Antonio Express-News RealPage buys Rexera, maker of 'AI agents' for real estate deals The Business Journals Lucky Strike Entertainment Buys Up Location Real Estate RePlay Magazine One of the world’s largest luxury real estate firms wants to help you buy a house — with crypto New York Post Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Quiver Quantitative Gold Key Real Estate lewistownsentinel.com Commercial Real Estate Still Has a Software Problem Commercial Observer Brixmor Property Group's Q2 2025 Earnings: A Strategic Playbook for Resilient Retail Real Estate AInvest Fed Interest Rate Predictions: No Cut Expected Tomorrow, July 30, 2025 Norada Real Estate Investments Judge sides with LGBTQ+ Alliance in battle with ex-CEO Real Estate News by RealEstateNews.com The Future of AI in Real Estate Valuations: Understanding Tomorrow’s Appraisal Standards Appraisal Buzz WeWork Wants You to Know It’s a Grown-Up Real-Estate Firm Now The Wall Street Journal NexPoint REIT Offers Shareholders Choice in $0.15 Distribution: Cash or Stock Payment Options Stock Titan Partners Real Estate names a new top executive in Austin The Business Journals Real estate: Home prices climb in Martin, Indian River counties; fall in St. Lucie County Treasure Coast News Virgin Hotels Chicago Flagship Sold in Strategic Deal Amid Timeshare Real Estate Shift – What You Need to Know Travel And Tour World Cohen & Steers: Real Estate Woes Continue To Weigh Seeking Alpha |
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