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Cutting Edge Real Estate, Is the Bubble Ready To Burst?
Of course, this is the big question in real estate now. . . Will the so-called real estate bubble burst like the dot-com bubble did a few years back? There are some good arguments on both sides of the issue. Whatever happens in the next few years, it will affect millions of Americans, and therefore also millions of people worldwide. If the bubble does "burst" as some say, it is all but certain we could, or more like would, go into a recession. A deep one. Right now the real estate business has been a prime reason that the economy has been decent the last few years. It has been one of the few consistently bright areas of our economy. First of all, to compare the real estate industry with the dot-com industry is unreasonable. It's comparing apples with oranges. The real estate industry has been and will always be a central part of the US economy. It will never disappear and there will always be a need and demand for it. Investing in real estate makes sense for the long term. On the other hand, the dot-com bubble was not based on anything more than speculation. Many businesses were trading on the stock market for unreal amounts of money and never made a dime in profit and ultimately never would. So for me, some of this thinking is this: "Well, the stock market had the dot-com boom and then it collapsed, so now we have this real estate boom so surely it will collapse also." I just don't go along with that comparison. Again, these are totally different industries and markets. Heck, if we can pay $20,000, $50,000 and even up to and over $100,000 on automobiles, then spending $300,000, $1,000,000 and more on homes seems very reasonable. Property will always be there as long as the mortgage is paid and the taxes are paid, too. That brings us to a good argument for believing the real estate market will slow down and possibly have a downturn. The reason there is a good argument for the belief that the real estate industry will have a major downturn is because some people, perhaps a good amount of people, won't be able to keep up with their mortgage payments if they start losing their jobs and the economy slows down. The rise in gas prices could have a major effect on the economy and if these homeowners start defaulting on their mortgages then this could turn the industry around. Many home owners and speculative real estate investors are using what some would call risky home mortgages, the interest-only and no-income verification loans. These allow more people to buy more homes and are part of the reason the real estate industry has enjoyed such a boom the last several years. Creative financing started decades ago and has kept increasing more and more different ways for the home buyer and speculator to get what they want. This is a good thing overall in my opinion. However I can see the dangers of this trend also. I don't feel a burst is inevitable but it is certainly very possible. Perhaps more likely, unless a major event such as another war or terrorist attack, is a slow down and evening off of the growth of the real estate industry. There are those on the side of the inevitable downturn philosophy, who are preparing for the worst. Just as some people can make money on the stock market even when it goes down, there are those who are preparing for a possible - inevitable in their minds - downturn in the real estate market. Here is one such way to capitalize on a real estate bubble burst or at least a downturn: pre- foreclosure deals. There are some investment clubs that are based solely on waiting for this to happen and then buying into this market. People will be foreclosing in record numbers if this downturn comes. Perhaps it is more accurate to say when, because as history shows there are always downturns in the market; and with all the creative financing, no interest loans and no income verification loans the probability of a downturn is likely. However, this is different than a "burst." So here is what can happen: 1. The market will keep going the way it has the last few years, which is up, up and up. Quickly is some areas. Not likely. 2. The market will slow down and level off soon. Very possible. 3. The market will have a slight downturn and many will lose their homes and many will benefit from this. Very possible. 4. The market will "burst" the "bubble" and there will be a major catastrophe in the industry. Possible, but not as likely as 2 and 3. Whatever happens, there will be some who are ready for it. Tim Phelan makes his living now online and has been involved in real estate as an investment for several years. Tim Phelan's BlogMore Real Estate Info
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Erie County Real Estate Transactions Buffalo News Following are real estate transactions over $5000 as listed in records of the Erie County clerk's office for the week ending Feb. 22. ALDEN • 13240 Railroa… After a Dip, Hong Kong Real Estate Again Eyes the Stratosphere The New York Times HONG KONG — Something strange happened recently in the Hong Kong property market. On New Year's Eve, a buyer put down a five percent deposit for the ... Behind the broker churn: Lead-gen firms march on, while mom-&-pops fight for survival The Real Deal TRD analyzed big swings in agent count at smaller firms in 2018. We analyzed franchises, traditional brokerages and upstart lead-generation brokerages. Joe's Crab Shack closure marks sea change for prime Austin real estate CultureMap Austin Bolstered by a prized lakefront location, Joe's Crab Shack had been a 16-year fixture on East Riverside Drive. Now that the casual-dining seafood eater. Calif. Real Estate Pros Hit Hard in Wake of College Admission Scandal Commercial Observer Many of the California real estate pros implicated in the college admission scandal are already facing considerable fallout. The 2019 Women of New York Real Estate City & State When Karen Franz began studying at Rutgers University, she had no idea she would end up in civil engineering. She originally began her academic career ... Sign of spring? More D-FW homes have price cuts Dallas News A familiar sign popping up in front of Dallas-Fort Worth homes reads Price Reduced.D-FW is one of the 10 U.S. markets that have seen the largest... RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust Announces Date of First Quarter 2019 Earnings Release, Conference Call and Webcast GlobeNewswire TORONTO, March 26, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust (“RioCan”) (TSX:REI.UN) today announced that it is scheduled to ... 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Weekend roundup: Taking on real-estate agents’ 6% commission | Having a ‘what if’ plan before a crisis hits | The killer question that will boost your career MarketWatch Also, how the Federal Reserve has stimulated the economy while keeping the lid on inflation. Five major real estate firms face far-reaching antitrust lawsuit Washington Post In what could be the most far-reaching antitrust lawsuit for the real estate market in decades, the National Association of Realtors and four of the largest realty ... Tucson investor, real estate mogul, philanthropist Donald Diamond dies at 91 KOLD Donald Diamond, a man who helped shape Tucson into what it is today, passed away Monday, March 25 at the age of 91. Opinion: Should BART be in the real estate business in Berkeley? Berkeleyside There are many better sites for building housing than the North Berkeley BART station. San Pablo Avenue corridor is well-suited for multi-family homes, ... Appetite for vegan real estate? CityNews Vancouver In a city known for its competitive real estate market, a pair of Vancouver realtors is standing out by giving a *fresh*, and green, take on the industry. Isabelle ... Amazon real estate exec says Bellevue plan not affected by New York exit The Seattle Times Some real estate sources have seen Bellevue as a possible spillover location for the erstwhile New York HQ2. But an Amazon executive said the growth ... A Growing Problem in Real Estate: Too Many Too Big Houses The Wall Street Journal Large, high-end homes across the Sunbelt are sitting on the market, enduring deep price cuts to sell. That is a far different picture than 15 years ago, when ... 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In a recession, though, they can be risky for owners who need to sell. Rethinking Real Estate: The Big Case For Small Residential Forbes Why doesn't the small residential industry garner more attention from the media, the public and even the real estate industry? States and real estate private equity firms questioned for compliance with human rights - World ReliefWeb GENEVA (26 March 2019) – UN human rights experts have condemned the “egregious” business practices of giant private equity and investment firms which ... Chicago most popular real estate news from Crain's Chicago Business Crain's Chicago Business A Jones Lang LaSalle megadeal and an ex-Bear's suburban mansion make the list. Housing market is tipping in favor of buyers, real-estate agents say MarketWatch Real-estate agents around the country weigh in on what they're seeing in their areas, and some broad national trends are emerging. Boston Councilors Eye Real Estate Transfer Tax To Boost Affordable Housing WBUR Boston city councilors have introduced a new transfer tax on property sales — a funding source they say would raise hundreds of millions each year to boost the ... Negotiation Tactics From Some Of The Best Real Estate Masterminds In The Business Forbes A forthcoming book, Real Estate Titans: 7 Key Lessons from the World's Top Real Estate Investors by Erez Cohen, has 11 in-depth interviews with some of the ... Bulgarian justice minister resigns over real estate deal Reuters SOFIA (Reuters) - Bulgarian Justice Minister Tsetska Tsacheva resigned on Saturday following media reports that she and three other ruling center-right GERB ... Democrats propose 'Extraordinary Profits' tax on capital gains, real estate Seattle PI House Democrats unveiled a $52.6 billion two-year state budget on Monday, up $8 billion from the current biennium and including $1.4 billion in new taxes ... 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Real Estate Fresh Finds: March 20 PoPville Real Estate *Fresh* Finds is a weekly selection of newly-listed properties in the District, brought to you by Real Living At Home. Featured Property of the Week: ... Homeless woman gifted new house by real estate group KVUE.com AUSTIN, Texas — After two separate fires wiped out her home and her shed, an East Austin woman is getting a new house. A fire destroyed Mary Clark's ... Bulgarian Ministers Resign Over Posh Real Estate Scandal OCCRP Bulgarian Deputy Minister of Energy Krasimir Parnov became the third top official to resign on Tuesday, after OCCRP partners revealed that a slew of Bulgarian ... Real Estate for the Afterlife The New York Times The price of your final piece of New York City can range from a few thousand dollars to more than $1 million. New Buyer. New Building. New Problems. The New York Times Buyers in new developments often feel powerless when it comes to getting management to address unexpected issues. But that power is within their reach. Five Trends That Will Impact Real Estate Investing This Year Forbes Let's be honest: Real estate valuations are very high today. But worries of an impending housing crash are premature. There are many trends that could ... 5 real estate pros who rock social media (and how you can too) Inman.com If you're a real estate pro looking to build a respectable, fun, friendly and professional social media reputation then take a page from the books of these five real ... Bay Area's largest real-estate firm? It's a New York startup Palo Alto Online Compass, the venture-funded real-estate startup that launched its first office in the local market just over two years ago, became the Bay Area's largest ... Residential real estate agents seek to stage a comeback Houston Chronicle Several other Houston-area agents have rented warehouse space and filled it with tens of thousands of dollars' worth of furniture, clothing, artwork and ... Vancouver company combines real estate and veganism CityNews Vancouver It might be a first in Vancouver, a new company has combined real estate and veganism. Realogy to roll out AI tools for real estate professionals HousingWire Residential real estate giant Realogy has debuted as suite of AI tools for agents that it hopes will reshape the future of real estate. At its RGX conference in Las ... The next frontier in real estate technology TechCrunch From entertainment to transportation, technology has upended nearly every major industry — with one notable exception: real estate. Instead of disrupting the ... Compensation for Corporate Real Estate Professionals Jumps GlobeSt.com In a recent survey of corporate real estate executives at corporations globally, 87% reported that their base salary increased from 2017 to 2018, by an average of ... Poll: Commercial Real Estate Brokers Admit To Slacking Off During March Madness Bisnow Commercial real estate brokers' bottom line depends on their ability to predict trends and watch the market. This week, many are using that skill to fill out their ... Berkshire region real estate sales March 3-9, 2019 | theberkshireedge.com Adams. 13 E Hoosac St: Marion C. Wandrei of Adams to J Crew Properties LLC, $95,000 on 03/11/2019. 59 Howland Ave: Lawrence P. Wilson and Greylock ... The ultimate guide to selling your home without a real estate agent Yahoo Finance Selling a home without the help of a realtor isn't for everyone but if you're brave enough to try it, there are a few ways to make the process smoother. Direct-To-Seller Outreach: How To Find Real Estate Deals In A Competitive Market Forbes The most common complaint I hear among both new and experienced real estate investors is that there are no deals in their market. It doesn't matter where their ... Tax on high-end real estate sales could generate hundreds of millions for Boston The Boston Globe A tax on sales of high-dollar real estate in Boston would generate an enormous amount of money for affordable housing, but could dampen the city's real estate ... Massachusetts real estate transactions for Hampden, Hampshire and Franklin counties: March 24, 2019 edition MassLive.com Agawam. Joan A. Tetreault to Daniel T. Balbony, 15 Mardale Ave., $242,000. Michael F. Albro, Frances G. Albro, Anthony P. Albro and Anthony Frank Albro, ... Sanibel Zen home is an oasis close to everything The News-Press The kitchen has one of the most unusual elements in a home. It has appliance garages. A Lake Nasworthy Gem Headlines 121 Featured San Angelo Real Estate Listings San Angelo LIVE! SAN ANGELO, TX — The March 24, 2019 Edition of West Texas Real Estate LIVE! has 97 featured homes for sale and lists the 24 open houses that are ... Ojo Labs raises $45 million to develop a chatbot for real estate VentureBeat Ojo Labs, an Austin-based company developing a real estate chatbot aimed at digital native homebuyers, announced it has raised $45 million in funding. Be A 1-Click Landlord: 3 Real Estate Stocks Paying Up To 7% Forbes The three lodging REITs we'll discuss here yield between 4% and 7%. Real estate brokerage adding Southside outpost RichmondBizSense SRMF will open its third location at 9004 W. Huguenot Road in the Stony Point Shopping Center. (Photos by Jonathan Spiers). The SRMF boys must have a ... “Selling a dream”: A wave of land listings marks shift in LA luxury resi market The Real Deal Eri Kroh, a commercial real estate developer, didn't know what he was getting into when an agent took him "just to look at" a 30-acre plot of land in Bel Air. Real-Estate Industry Blasts ‘Pied-à-Terre’ Tax on High-Value Second Homes Wall Street Journal The real-estate industry is launching a frontal assault against a plan in Albany to impose a stiff annual tax on wealthy owners of part-time homes in New York ... Class action suit could change real-estate commissions Chicago Tribune In what could be the most far-reaching antitrust lawsuit for the real estate market in decades, the National Association of Realtors and four of the largest realty ... How This Nonprofit Is Changing The Way Minorities 'Get In' Commercial Real Estate Forbes Find how this 20 year old organization focused on increasing the diversity of an industry is changing the face of commercial real estate. North Texas partners buy Fort Worth industrial properties Dallas News Two north Texas investors have purchased six industrial buildings in West Fort Worth.The properties are in the IH-20 West Business Park near the... Real estate company signs leasing agreement to fill Regency Square Mall WJXT News4JAX A Jacksonville real estate company has signed a leasing agreement to help fill space at the Arlington shopping center. Ask a real estate pro: Don't be a victim; protect yourself when buying or selling property Sun Sentinel Real estate lawyer Gary Singer writes: Financial crime and fraud are a problem in the real estate industry. Criminals can be very creative in separating you from ... Freddie sees real estate market "thawing" this spring Seeking Alpha Freddie Mac's March forecast sees single-family mortgage originations rising 1.6% to $1.67T in 2019 and remaining at a similar level in 2020. Freddie Chief. [Pulse] Here's how real estate agents and mortgage LOs can generate business through social selling HousingWire Social Selling is one of those buzzwords that everyone seems to be talking about these days, but few truly understand what it is. Some think it's selling your ... Real Estate Transfers: March 21, 2019 Suffolk Times Listings prepared for Times Review Media Group by Suffolk Research *Service*, dated Jan. 21-27, 2019. |
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